Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.171611 4.491737 4.835163 5.232803 5.682842 6.179135 6.771644
2025-05-04 3.716934 4.175586 4.701713 5.357729 6.165197 7.142416 8.440183
2025-05-11 3.377254 3.898785 4.523902 5.343837 6.415621 7.807149 9.820679
2025-05-18 3.121325 3.676873 4.365134 5.304038 6.592023 8.365500 11.133430
2025-05-25 2.874943 3.436698 4.149741 5.151566 6.578028 8.636547 12.058880
2025-06-01 2.689194 3.255351 3.989219 5.047436 6.605609 8.954146 13.103922
2025-06-08 2.571884 3.152306 3.920564 5.057934 6.791889 9.529324 14.704687
2025-06-15 2.493007 3.093101 3.903984 5.136662 7.084259 10.313579 16.893738
2025-06-22 2.342295 2.926030 3.724056 4.955690 6.942506 10.334637 17.574801
2025-06-29 2.224428 2.797614 3.590339 4.832503 6.879064 10.480577 18.557573
2025-07-06 2.124004 2.688142 3.476837 4.730506 6.838117 10.657953 19.660904
2025-07-13 2.054678 2.618879 3.417382 4.707597 6.927979 11.094871 21.531575
2025-07-20 2.020066 2.600888 3.437482 4.821795 7.287993 12.167866 25.636539
2025-07-27 1.982813 2.577613 3.448916 4.924491 7.645425 13.330863 30.785540
2025-08-03 1.920938 2.514608 3.394985 4.911615 7.781490 14.036077 34.991686
2025-08-10 1.859021 2.448338 3.331684 4.876573 7.868513 14.646625 39.365846
2025-08-17 1.779887 2.352710 3.216935 4.742387 7.739341 14.696552 41.525590
2025-08-24 1.715297 2.276552 3.129474 4.650599 7.687848 14.938971 44.826485
2025-08-31 1.676185 2.237553 3.099525 4.659857 7.849968 15.791159 52.137608
2025-09-07 1.651621 2.219690 3.102598 4.729257 8.150958 17.120969 64.339910
2025-09-14 1.583920 2.132334 2.987316 4.569623 7.922543 16.832708 65.597796
2025-09-21 1.529569 2.064193 2.901357 4.460746 7.800366 16.853539 69.393085
2025-09-28 1.481679 2.004678 2.827431 4.370463 7.712469 16.967807 74.313591